COVID wave past its peak in many parts of China – state media

By Bernard Orr

BEIJING, Jan 10 (Reuters) – Many parts of China are
already past their peak of COVID-19 infections, state media
reported on Tuesday, with officials further downplaying the
severity of the outbreak despite international concerns about
its scale and impact.

A summary by Health Times, a publication managed by People’s
Daily, the Communist Party’s official newspaper, said infections
have been declining in the capital Beijing and several Chinese
provinces. One official was quoted as saying nearly 90 million
people had already been infected in Henan province.

The virus has been spreading freely in China since a policy
U-turn in early December after protests against a “zero-COVID”
regime ruthlessly enforced for three years. China reopened its
borders on Sunday, removing the last major restrictions.

The frequent lockdowns, relentless testing and various
levels of movement curbs since early 2020 have brought the
world’s second-largest economy to one of its slowest growth
rates in nearly half a century and caused widespread distress.

With the virus let loose, China has stopped publishing daily
infection tallies and has been reporting daily death tolls in
single digits, figures that have been disputed by the World
Health Organisation.

Many Chinese funeral homes and hospitals say they are
overwhelmed, and international health experts predict at least 1
million COVID-related deaths in China this year.

On Tuesday, a Health Times compilation of reports from local
government officials and health experts across the country,
suggested the COVID wave may be past its peak in many regions.

Kan Quan, director of the Office of the Henan Provincial
Epidemic Prevention and Control, was cited as saying the
infection rate in the central province of nearly 100 million was
nearly 90% as of Jan. 6.

The number of patients at clinics in the province reached a
peak on Dec. 19, but the number of severe cases was still high,
he said, without giving further details.

Yin Yong, acting mayor of Beijing, was cited as saying the
capital was also past its peak. Li Pan, deputy director of the
Municipal Health Commission in the city of Chongqing said the
peak there was reached on Dec. 20.

In the province of Jiangsu, the peak was reached on Dec. 22,
while in Zheijiang province “the first wave of infections has
passed smoothly,” officials said. Two cities in the southern
Guangdong province, China’s manufacturing heartland, reached
their peaks before the end of the year.

Separately in the state-run China Daily, a prominent health
official said the percentage of severe cases remained unclear.

“It is still too early to conclude the overall percentage of
severe and critical COVID patients in China as different types
of hospitals report different numbers, Wang Guiqiang, head of
Peking University First Hospital’s infectious disease
department, was quoted as saying.

BUMPY RECOVERY

Analysts predict a downturn in economic activity in the near
term as workers and consumers fall ill, but also a swift
recovery later in the year as immunity levels improve.

Immigration offices in Beijing this week saw long queues of
people eager to renew their passports as China dropped COVID
border controls that had discouraged its 1.4 billion residents
from travelling for three years because of the restrictions on
their return.

But a rebound in overseas travel is expected to be bumpy and
shopping abroad by Chinese tourists may take time to reach the
$250 billion a year pre-COVID levels.

Airlines are yet to rebuild their capacity, with daily
flights in and out of China about a tenth of pre-pandemic
levels, according to Flight Master data.

Further inconveniencing travel, many countries are demanding
negative tests from visitors from China, having raised concerns
about the country’s transparency over the scale and impact of
the outbreak as well as over potential mutations.

China has dismissed criticism over its data as
politically-motivated attempts to smear its “success” in
handling the pandemic and said any future mutations are likely
to be more infectious but cause less severe illness.
(Reporting by Beijing and Shanghai bureaus; Writing by Marius
Zaharia; Editing by Raju Gopalakrishnan)